On to round two…
To catch up on what we’re doing and understand the scoring, check out Part 1.
Score at the end of Round 1:
- Rangers: 5 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 4 = 21
- Angels: 3 + 5 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 17
- Athletics: 2 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 2 = 8
- Mariners: 1 + 2 + 2 + 1 + 1 = 7
- Josh Hamilton, TEX
- Vernon Wells, LAA
- Seth Smith, OAK
- Trayvon Robinson, SEA
Let’s break this down. Vernon Wells is a better player than what we saw in 2011. Josh Hamilton is as well. Josh Hamilton is a better player than Vernon Wells. Is he so much better that he deserves the bonus point here? I think so. If we go by 2011 alone, Josh would easily get the bonus, posting a 4.2 WAR, with Wells at 0.3 (Seth Smith was actually better than Wells with a 1.9).
I’m willing to look beyond just 2011 as I do really think Wells will improve upon his first season with the Angels, in which he only played in 131 games. That said, I think you could say the same thing about Josh. While his 2011 numbers look good, they were accomplished in only 121 games due to injuries. Hamilton posted a .882 OPS, compared to the 1.044 OPS he posted in 2010 (MVP season).
In addition to the superior 2011, Josh is also the superior player.
- Peter Bourjos/Mike Trout, LAA
- Coco Crisp, OAK
- Craig Gentry/Julio Borbon, TEX
- Franklin Gutierrez, SEA
This was the weakest position across the board in 2011, with Bourjos putting together the best year without question. There are rumors swirling that the Angels may look to deal Bourjos to make room for phenom Mike Trout. While I like the idea of Bourjos leaving the American League West, I don’t know if I like the idea of Trout getting more playing time. Whether it’s Bourjos or Trout or a combination of both (worst case), they lead the pack. In fact, I’m giving the Angels duo the bonus here, which can base on speculation or Bourjos’ production last year (4.2 WAR) compared to the others on the list.
The battle for 2nd here was very close in my mind, and while I think Gentry can continue to improve (if he wins the job outright), I think Crisp is a better player in 2012. This is definitely one to watch.
You could make an argument to put Gutierrez in the 3rd spot here, but he’s too far removed from his best season (2009) to think he’s going to be able to bounce back enough to outperform whoever mans center for the Rangers.
- Torii Hunter, LAA
- Nelson Cruz, TEX
- Ichiro Suzuki, SEA
- Josh Reddick, OAK
This was the toughest ranking of the outfield positions by far. Let’s start at the bottom.
Reddick put together a nice season, but needs to prove he can do it again, which I don’t think he’ll do in 2012 as he’ll be in much weaker line-up.
Ichiro is a Hall of Famer, and one of the greatest hitters of my lifetime. Ichiro is also going to turn 39 later this year, and while it doesn’t look like he’s slowing down (40 SBs in 2011), his offensive production is on the decline.
So, it comes down to Nellie and Torii for the top spot. I know many of my fellow Ranger fans are going to gripe about this one, but I have to give Hunter the top spot for 2012.
Cruz had the higher OPS in 2011, and is the better offensive player at this point. Hunter is the better defensive player and has proven to be more durable and reliable. It’s very close, but 150 games from Hunter edges out 125 games from Cruz. Prove me wrong Nellie…
- Michael Young, TEX
- Jesus Montero, SEA
- Mark Trumbo/Kendry Morales, LAA
- Jonny Gomes, OAK
Jesus Montero has the ability to be #1 on this list, as does Mark Trumbo, but they won’t in 2012.
Montero was a very highly regarded prospect that came up in the Yankees farm system and debuted last year with the big league team. He was recently dealt to Seattle in exchange for Michael Pineda. While he’s well on his way to becoming a productive big league hitter, he’s still developing and has moved to a weaker line-up. If we’re talking long-term, Montero is easily #1 on this list, as he has more upside than just about anyone on any of these lists. With that, I feel good about slotting him 2nd.
At first glace, I had the Angels in the 2nd spot here, but The Angels, like the Rangers, have some flexibility (though not as much) with the guys that are going to DH this year in that Trumbo and Morales can also play first base.
The soon-to-be 38 year-old Bobby Abreu struggled in 2011, and is becoming more of a situation hitter as opposed to a full-time DH, so I’ve removed him here. It’s going to be interesting to see who get the bulk of at-bats at the DH position for LA in 2012. I’m leaning towards it being split pretty evening, with Morales seeing a few more at-bats if he’s healthy, primarily because he’s a switch hitter.
Score at the end of Round 2:
- Rangers: 21 from Round 1 + 5 + 2 + 3 + 4 = 35
- Angels: 17 from Round 1 + 3 + 5 + 4 + 2 = 31
- Athletics: 8 from Round 1 + 2 + 3 + 1 + 1 = 15
- Mariners: 7 from Round 1 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 3 = 14
Round 3 will be posted early next week and will cover the bench and the manager.