Jul 222013
 
Martin Perez, Rangers

Three stat-lines, three players…can you guess who’s who without scouring the internets?

Today’s mash-up compares three starting pitchers over the last four weeks – I know, small sample size, but pretty good barometer of who’s hot and who’s not.

And now, the three pitchers we’ll be comparing…

The Players

Monday Morning Mashup   Three pitchers that Im thinking about...

Clifton Phifer Lee – former Ranger great, current longshot trade target.  I’d personally love to have this guy back, but wonder about the potential impact on the clubhouse…after all, he did jump ship after a pretty amazing stretch of baseball in late-2010.

 

 

Monday Morning Mashup   Three pitchers that Im thinking about...

Martin (Jimenez) Perez – dude has been dealing since given his most recent shot in the Rangers starting rotation, but lost last night to the O’s and you have to wonder what he’ll bring to the table down the stretch.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Monday Morning Mashup   Three pitchers that Im thinking about...

Christopher Steven Tillman – one of the unsung O’s and the guy that shut down the Rangers offense last night (not that it takes Superman to do that these days).

 

 

The Stats

Take a look at the stat-lines below and post a comment with who’s who.  Remember, we are on the honor system here…

A.

Split W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP SO/9 SO/BB
Last 28 days 2 2 3.30 5 5 0 0 30.0 33 14 11 4 8 20 1.367 6.0 2.50
B.
Split W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP SO/9 SO/BB
Last 28 days 4 1 4.18 5 5 0 0 32.1 33 15 15 5 12 27 1.392 7.5 2.25
C.
Split W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP SO/9 SO/BB
Last 28 days 1 2 5.47 4 4 0 0 26.1 28 16 16 9 4 26 1.215 8.9 6.50
Again, just a little Monday morning baseball fun. Post your answers below in the comments section.
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Nov 012012
 
Josh Hamilton 10

According to Dayn Perry (CBSSportsline), the odds-makers over at Bovada.lv have put out odds on where Josh Hamilton will sign this offseason.


Who will sign Josh Hamilton next?

San Francisco Giants: 3-1
Atlanta Braves: 5-1
Texas Rangers: 5-1
Philadelphia Phillies: 7-1
New York Yankees: 9-1
Chicago Cubs: 9-1
Boston Red Sox: 9-1
Pittsburgh Pirates: 10-1
Toronto Blue Jays: 10-1
Los Angeles Dodgers: 15-1


Let me be the first to say that there are a few teams on this list that I think have no shot or no interest in Hamilton

Phillies – No interest and no shot.  Unless they can find a way to unload some of the veteran contracts that they currently have in place, I just don’t see GM Ruben Amaro adding another large contract to the mix, especially a player north of 30 years old.  Here is a quick look at some of their top salaries for 2013:

  • Roy Halladay – $20M

    <b>Thursday Sound Off:</b> Hambones New Home...<br><b>Prediction:</b> Staying in Texas

    Hamels with Phillies GM Ruben Amaro

  • Cole Hamels – $19.5M
  • Ryan Howard – $20M
  • Cliff Lee – $25M
  • Jon Papelbon – $13M
  • Jimmy Rollins – $11M
  • Chase Utley – $15M
That’s $123.5M for 7 players, most of which are getting a little long in the tooth.  This is NOT a team that is going to give a 4-6 year contract to Josh Hamilton.  In addition, the fan base in Philly is quick to turn on poor performance and lack of effort – can you imagine the treatment Josh would have gotten from the fans down the stretch in 2012 if he had been playing for Philly?

Cubs – No interest.  Theo Epstein is in the process of rebuilding and while the Cubs will soon be at a point where they are ready to supplement a strong base of talent in free agency, they aren’t their yet.  Hamilton’s age and the potential for injury and fatigue due to his past and playing style just don’t fit in Theo’s plan.  Cubs fan’s would love Josh…but it’s not happening.

Pirates – Are you kidding me?  No shot.

Official Prediction

Don’t see any odds on the field (everyone else), but would assume they would be somewhere around 30-1, if not larger.  I’d bet on the field at 30-1 (heck, even 25-1) before I’d consider the Phillies, Cubs or Pirates.

In fact, the team that I think will sign Josh Hamilton is not even mentioned above.

My official prediction as to who will sign Josh Hamilton….as of right now….always subject to change….

The Houston Astros

<b>Thursday Sound Off:</b> Hambones New Home...<br><b>Prediction:</b> Staying in TexasIs this crazy?  Here is my thinking:

  • Money: They have to have money!  They don’t have anyone on their current roster that is deserving of a big contract, so they must have the money to make it happen, even considering they’ll have to overpay.
  • Ownership: Jim Crane is a crazy ass, looking for attention and desperately seeking any opportunity to make a big splash.  So much so, he was considering bringing the Roger Clemens circus to town late in the 2012 season.  Signing Josh Hamilton and being the “mystery team” would be a BIG splash.
  • Location: Josh and his family are clearly comfortable in the DFW area and while it’s still five hours away…it’s as close as he’s gonna get to staying here.
  • AL West: The Astros will be joining the Rangers in the AL West starting in 2013.  Josh is familiar with the lay of the land in the AL West, which benefits the Astros and provides a certain level of comfort for Josh.
  • Houston Fans: Low expectations…if any.  The excitement generated over the signing would follow Josh into the regular season and mask any lack of effort or disinterest – if those issues are still there – which I don’t think they will be.

Nevermind the fact that the Astros are horrible.  I think Josh will value the situation and the contract more than any team’s current level of play or postseason hopes.

Prediction #2 - Josh will play like a man possessed in 2013 and win the AL MVP despite:

  • Houston’s weak lineup which provides him no protection
  • The fact that the Astros will be out of the playoff race by mid-April
This sucks given his poor exit from the Rangers…but you know you agree.

So, what do you think?  Have I sold you on Josh in a Astros uniform in 2013?  Or do you trust the odds provided by Bovada?

Vote in the poll below and sound off in the comments section.

What uniform will Josh be wearing in 2013?
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
Texas (Rangers)
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
L.A. Dodgers
Houston Astros
Other (leave comments)
View Result
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Jul 212012
 
Cliff Lee & Cole Hamels

Scott attempts to trade Jasen to an Oakland Athletics blog and podcast, which leads to discussion about the trade deadline and what we think the Rangers should do.

  • What are the top 2 needs for the current Rangers squad?
  • Who are some of the trade targets?
  • Who would the Rangers have to give up in return?  Profar?  Olt?  Perez?

Podcast Episode 16   Rangers Trade Deadline Talk (Part 1)Unfortunately, the Philly pictured here has not been put on the trading block.

We’ll have part 2 of the Trade Deadline podcast up next Saturday, as the rumors continue to heat up through the week leading up to the deadline at 4pm on July 31st.

Be sure to check out our Trade Target Profiles on Justin Upton and Cole Hamels…we’ll have more of these coming through the deadline as well.

Stay tuned for details on a game watching party at Mixed Up Burgers!

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Jul 172012
 
Cole Hamels 2

With the Rangers mentioned as a potential suitor for just about every Tom, Dick and Harry that may or may not be on the block, we’re going to start breaking down some of the primary players involved.

Why not start with the big fish!

Colbert Michael “Hollywood” Hamels

Potential Trade Target Profile: Cole Hamels

The Player

Hamels is the top pitcher on the trade market in my opinion with the Brewers’ Zack Greinke a close second.  The Phillies are currently making a last-ditch effort to lock the 28 year-old southpaw up long-term with a rumored offer of around 5-6 years at $100-120 million overall. However, most believe that if a long-term agreement is not reached, the Phillies will be eager to trade Hamels away and get something for him, given the unknowns of the open market in free agency and the current standing of the team in the NL East (14 games back).

Hamels debuted in 2006 for the Phillies after being a highly-touted prospect in their farm system since joining the organization as a 1st round draft pick in 2002.  Currently in his 7th year at the major league level, Hamels is a 3 time All-Star who has finished in the top 6 of the NL Cy Young voting twice in his career (6th in 2007 and 5th last year).

The Measurables

Year Age Tm Lg W L ERA G CG IP H HR BB SO ERA+ WHIP SO/BB
2006 22 PHI NL 9 8 4.08 23 0 132.1 117 19 48 145 115 1.247 3.02
2007 23 PHI NL 15 5 3.39 28 2 183.1 163 25 43 177 135 1.124 4.12
2008 24 PHI NL 14 10 3.09 33 2 227.1 193 28 53 196 141 1.082 3.70
2009 25 PHI NL 10 11 4.32 32 2 193.2 206 24 43 168 97 1.286 3.91
2010 26 PHI NL 12 11 3.06 33 1 208.2 185 26 61 211 133 1.179 3.46
2011 27 PHI NL 14 9 2.79 32 3 216.0 169 19 44 194 136 0.986 4.41
2012 28 PHI NL 11 4 3.07 18 0 126.0 107 14 30 125 129 1.087 4.17
7 Yrs 85 58 3.36 199 10 1287.1 1140 155 322 1216 125 1.136 3.78
162 Game Avg. 15 10 3.36 34 2 220 195 27 55 208 125 1.136 3.78
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/17/2012.
  •  Looking at similar players, Hamels compares well with Jered Weaver, and at the age of 28, should still have many of his best years still ahead of him.
  • He currently has a WAR (Wins Above Replacement) of 2.6 on the season, which puts him right outside of the top 10 in MLB.  For reference, Matt Harrison has a 4.1 WAR on the season.
  • His 11 wins on the season is even more impressive, considering the Phillies poor record on the season of 40-51.
  • His 125 K’s on the season is just 15 back of MLB leader Felix Hernandez, good for 6th overall.
  • His K/BB ratio (4.167) ranks him 10th in MLB…the MLB leader is our very own Colby Lewis at 7.5.
  • He’s making $15M this season…not too shabby.

 Could Cole be a Ranger?

Potential Trade Target Profile: Cole Hamels

I’ve long been of the belief that the Rangers would make a hard push for Hamels in free agency after the season.  It never entered my mind that he would be on the block at this point in the season, based on the assumption that the Phillies would have been more competitive this season and need to retain his services – long-term contract or not.

As far as what it would take from the Rangers to land Hamels…word is that the Phillies initial asking price is pretty steep as they are looking for 4-5 top prospects in return for Hamels.  Let’s keep in mind that Hamels is only under contract through the end of this season, so assuming a long-term agreement isn’t reached with whoever trades for his services, he’s potentially nothing more than a 3 month rental.

All indications point towards the primary player in return being Mike Olt, then fill in from there with a few more prospects.

The deal is similar in magnitude to the Cliff Lee trade from 2010, where Justin Smoak and Blake Beavan were both top 10 prospects in the Rangers organization, so figure it’s going to take something similar to land Hamels.

Lee turned out to be nothing more than a 3 month rental, but I think we can all agree that none of us would go back on that trade now…even if Smoak or Beavan were to improve upon their current performance…2010 was just that magical.

All this said, I’d say there is a very slim chance that the Rangers end up dealing for Hamels due to these reasons:

  • The Phillies offer (expected in next day or two) – Hamels could accept the offer if it’s as big as rumored and that would be the end of it.
  • Price tag – while I don’t think Olt is untouchable, as many have labeled him as such(and as Ninja JD would like for everyone to believe), I think the Phillies see Olt as just one of the pieces in the trade and the Rangers value him more than that.
  • Options – Grienke, Garza, Dempster, etc.  A deal for one of these guys may present a better value for the Rangers.

Don’t get me wrong…I love this guy and would like to see him wearing a Rangers uniform, but it just doesn’t seem likely….but neither did Cliff 2 years ago.

We should know about the Phillies offer in the next week to 10 days.  If Hamels passes on their offer and officially hits the trading block, it’s going to make the deadline that much more interesting.

Isn’t this fun?

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Jun 222012
 

Texas Rangers/Colorado Rockies Game 1 Preview: Welcoming the Wonderful Wizard of OsThe Texas Rangers have had their way with the N.L. West thus far. They won two of three from the San Francisco Giants as well as the Arizona Diamondbacks. And as for the lowly, last-place San Diego Padres?

Three Game Sweep…whatever, you can keep the perfect weather, San Diego! We’ll settle for the three wins!

And now it’s time for the Colorado Rockies to march into town. The cold-weather crusaders are currently in Arlington—and the Metroplex is especially pumped.

Why?

“Because, because, because, because, because
Because of the wonderful things he does…”

Huh?

“We’re off to see the Wizard…”

Who?

“The wonderful Wizard of Os…”

Oh yeah, tonight’s the debut of “The Wizard of Os,” aka “Roy Oswalt.”

Mr. Oswalt, he of the 159-93 won/loss record over his illustrious career. Yep, the same former two-time 20-game winner. And right again, the one who spent most of his career in Houston with the Astros before spending a year plus in Philadelphia with three other aces.

Sure, his fastball might have lost some zip, and his curveball’s more 11-5 than 12-6, but he’s still a damn fine pitcher—and he’s all ours! He’s hungry for a World Series title, because even with half of planet earth’s aces on one staff, well, it didn’t work out so well for Philly.

Tonight’s lineups:

Colorado Rockies (26-42)

CF Dexter Fowler
2B Marco Scutaro
LF Carlos Gonzalez
DH Jason Giambi
RF Michael Cuddyer
1B Todd Helton
3B Chris Nelson
C Wilin Rosario
SS Jonathan Herrera

RHPRoy Oswalt

Oswalt hasn’t pitched in the big leagues since October 5, 2011. That was game 4 of the NLDS, and Os took the loss against the St. Louis “still to soon to talk about” Cardinals.

Over his career, Oswalt has loved facing Colorado—he’s 8-1 with a 1.94 ERA. At Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, the Os is 2-5 with a 4.78 ERA.

Texas Rangers (43-27)

2B Ian Kinsler
SS Elvis Andrus
CF Josh Hamilton
DH Adrian Beltre
3B Michael Young
RF Nelson Cruz
1B Mike Napoli
C Yorvit Torrealba
CF Craig Gentry

LHP Christian Friedrich (4-3, 5.60 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 9 K/9)

24-year-old Friedrich was a first-round pick by the Rockies in 2008. His home/road splits are almost as bi-polar as his lefty vs. righty ones.

At home—where the balls fly freely much like Rangers Ballpark—Friedrich is 1-2, with a robust 12.60 ERA. On the road he’s 3-1 with a sparkling 2.10 ERA. Against right-handed batters, Friedrich is more Dr. Hyde than Mr. Jekyl, as righties produce this slash line: .276/.346/.441.

Left-handers light him up with frequency: .385/.429/.615.

Whereas the Texas Rangers have loved their time against N.L. West teams, Friedrich is no fan of the A.L. West. He’s 0-2, with a 16.00 ERA, allowing 19 hits and 16 earned runs against the Mariners and Angels this season.

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